The USs Odds of Beating Belgium And Every Other World Cup Opponent

I passed a fellow Disney cast member in the hallway just after Thursday afternoon’s first set of World Cup matches concluded. He’d missed the U.S.-Germany game.“Did we win?” he asked.“Yes,” I said. “I mean, no, we lost. But we advanced.” He seemed to understand.After its loss to Germany, the U.S. finished tied for second in Group G, with one win, one loss and one draw. Portugal had the same record. But the U.S. had the better goal differential and will go on, reaching the knockout stage in consecutive World Cups for the first time in its history.Some further good news for the U.S. is that it has a palatable draw in its Round of 16 game. If the U.S. gets very lucky and Algeria and South Korea win their games Thursday, its opponent would be Algeria. However, there is only a 3.5 percent chance of both of those outcomes. In any other case, the U.S. will face Belgium.The U.S. will be an underdog against Belgium, but not as badly as it would be against some other opponents. If we put the remaining World Cup teams into several tiers based on their Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings, it would look something like this:Tier 1A: Brazil (partly because of home-country advantage)Tier 1B: Germany, ArgentinaTier 2A: Colombia, Netherlands, France, ChileTier 2B: Belgium, UruguayTier 3A: Switzerland, U.S., Mexico, Costa Rica, Nigeria, RussiaTier 3B: Algeria, GreeceTier 4: South Korea (very unlikely to advance)Belgium is dangerous, but not as dangerous as tournament favorites Brazil, Germany and Argentina. Meanwhile, the Netherlands, France, Chile and Colombia also look more threatening than Belgium based on the things SPI looks at: pre-tournament resumes, form so far in the World Cup and, in the case of Chile and Colombia, games closer to home.Our match-prediction algorithm gives the U.S. about a 42 percent chance of winning a knockout-stage game against Belgium based on each team’s SPI rating as of Thursday morning. (The U.S. would be 59 percent favorites against Algeria.) Here’s how those probabilities look for a knockout match between the U.S. and all remaining teams in the World Cup:A note for soccer newbies: There are no draws in the knockout stage. If the score is tied at the end of regulation, the teams play 30 minutes of extra time. (The 30 minutes are guaranteed; there is no longer any “sudden death” or Golden Goal rule.) If the score is still tied, the game goes to a penalty shootout. (Some soccer statisticians consider games that go to penalties to be draws for record-keeping purposes — but the winner of the shootout advances all the same.)These probabilities reflect an improvement, which we’ll be unveiling Friday morning, to the SPI match-prediction program. Previously, it had been resolving all matches that would have been draws in regulation 50-50. In other words, it was assuming that the outcome of a game that went to extra time was purely random.We’ve done some further research, however, and this assumption turns out be somewhat too conservative. Based on the results from major tournaments since 2005, the better team does have a slight edge in extra time. It isn’t much of an advantage if the teams are at all competitive with one another: For example, if a U.S.-Belgium game went to extra time, Belgium would have a 54 percent chance of advancing either after extra time or on penalties, and the U.S. would have a 46 percent chance. But it’s worth worrying about when one team is clearly better. For instance, we estimate that Argentina would have a 65 percent chance of winning an extra-time game against the U.S.Speaking of Argentina, it represents the biggest barrier to the U.S. making a deep run in the World Cup. The Argentines are the Americans’ most likely opponent in the quarterfinals and the U.S. has only a 20 percent chance of beating them. The U.S. will want to root for Switzerland to upset Argentina in the Round of 16 — against the Swiss, the Americans would be almost even money.Overall, the U.S. has a 13 percent chance of winning two knockout-stage matches and advancing to the semifinals for the first time since the 1930 World Cup. Its probability of winning the World Cup is only 1.2 percent — although those odds are up from just 0.4 percent before the tournament began. read more

Advice For Phil Jackson Hire Phil Jackson

Win shareJacksonEveryone else > 3/4100%32.3% 2/3 – 3/450%9.3% < 2/30%0.4% With Phil Jackson returning to the NBA as president of the New York Knicks — his first front-office job — there’s one move he can make to greatly improve the Knicks’ chances at success: Hire himself as coach.I’m not saying that the Knicks’ players are a perfect match for Jackson’s “triangle” offense, or that I have any insight into his coaching shortlist — except that any name on that list other than his will be less likely to win championships.To illustrate, let’s take a quick look at some of Jackson’s accomplishments:I know “count the rings” is a controversial argument, but Jackson has won a lot of championships. This graph also doubles as a good reason why he should return to coaching: He’s fallen behind the rest of the NBA. Time to catch up!Though already a Hall of Famer and widely regarded as one of the best coaches in NBA history, Jackson still sometimes gets criticized for having won his 11 rings exclusively with some of the best players in history: First Michael Jordan and Scottie Pippen (and later Dennis Rodman) with the Chicago Bulls, then Kobe Bryant and Shaquille O’Neal (and later Pau Gasol) with the Los Angeles Lakers.Of course, if he had taken over last year’s Lakers squad — with Kobe, Gasol, Dwight Howard and Steve Nash — and trounced everyone on his way to a 12th trophy, he would have faced the same criticism. It’s ridiculous: Take any player who Jackson won a championship with, and he has won at least five more without them. The reverse isn’t even close. Among Jackson’s regular starters, Rodman had two championships without him, and Shaq had one. That’s it.But the point that Jackson’s teams were all very strong, while mostly true, misses a critical point: They won more championships than even incredibly strong teams are expected to.Jackson’s teams won more than 75 percent of their games in the regular season six times, and each time won the NBA championship. Since the introduction of the 3-point shot (1979-80), 31 non-Jackson-coached teams have won more than 75 percent of their games, and only 10 won the title.But maybe his top teams are just better than the rest of the NBA’s top teams. So let’s look at the next step down: Jackson’s teams won between two-thirds and three-fourths of their games in the regular season 10 times, winning five championships (50 percent). The rest of the NBA has done the same just 10 of 108 times (9.3 percent).None of Jackson’s four teams who failed to win two-thirds of their games ever won a championship. But of the 765 other teams in that category, only three ever did. To summarize: One reason Jackson’s consistently great teams may have done so well relative to their records is that their records more accurately reflect their strength, more so than the random NBA team that runs well for a year or so. But Jackson’s dynastic teams do even better in the playoffs than other dynasties.For example, the average Phil Jackson team saw its win-rate drop by about 4 percent in the playoffs (against much stronger competition) compared with the regular season (against average competition). The league dropped, on average, by 11 percent. Gregg Popovich is notorious for resting starters and otherwise not taking the regular season seriously, and even his San Antonio Spurs see a 9.5 percent drop. To find any dynasty nearly as consistent as Jackson’s, you have to go back to the 1980s. Pat Riley’s Lakers’ win rate dropped only 5 percent (though if you add in Riley’s years with the Knicks and the Miami Heat, his average jumps back to 10 percent).Even if Jackson had nothing to do with his teams’ strength in general, his ability to keep them performing their best or even better in the playoffs is remarkable. Given the extreme rarity of clutch-like effects in sports, is it more likely that two to three different teams independently possessed this quality, and Jackson just happened to coach them? Or did Jackson’s coaching instill this quality? read more

Giancarlo Stanton Will Need To Slug Like Barry Bonds To Beat Roger

2007Prince FielderMIL351550 2006Ryan HowardPHI411758 2001Barry BondsSF492473✓ 2007Alex RodriguezNYY391554✓ 2010Jose BautistaTOR361854 Want a late-season home run barrage? Juice up.MLB players who hit the most home runs before the end of the season after hitting 35 or more home runs through 116 games 1998Sammy SosaCHC432366✓ 1999Sammy SosaCHC461763✓ HOME RUNS That means Stanton will need the kind of performance not seen since the steroid era to beat Maris’s old record — a tall order, even for one of history’s greatest power hitters. Of course, maybe juiced balls are the equivalent of steroids for today’s batters, which would certainly boost Stanton’s odds. Either way, to get there, he’ll have to stay nearly as hot as he’s been in this recent streak over the entire rest of the year.Check out our latest MLB predictions. 1990Cecil FielderDET351651 Based on 72 hitters. For 162-game seasons only. Implication of PED use based on the Mitchell Report, failed drug tests and player admissions.Sources: Baseball-Reference.com, Lahman database 2001Sammy SosaCHC412364✓ 1998Ken Griffey Jr.SEA411556 1961Roger MarisNYY441761 1998Mark McGwireSTL462470✓ 1997Ken Griffey Jr.SEA362056 Miami Marlins right fielder Giancarlo Stanton is on some kind of hot streak. With yet another home run on Sunday (he’s homered in four straight games and nine times this month), Stanton now has 42 on the 2017 season — and 21 in his last 33 games. Just when it looked like Aaron Judge of the New York Yankees was going to usurp Stanton’s crown as the game’s top power hitter, Stanton has reclaimed it with a vengeance.Stanton’s season is already historic; only 11 times in the 162-game-schedule era1Since 1961. has a batter hit 42 or more home runs in his team’s first 116 ballgames. But Stanton can set his sights on another historic mark: the pre-steroids single-season home run record of 61, set by Roger Maris in 1961.Mark McGwire, Sammy Sosa and Barry Bonds later surpassed Maris’s mark.2Bonds holds the current record with 73 home runs, set in 2001. But McGwire and Sosa either admitted to or tested positive for using performance-enhancing drugs, and Bonds was mentioned prominently in the Mitchell Report (which investigated the use of steroids in baseball), thus tainting their accomplishments in the eyes of many fans. So for Stanton, breaking Maris’s “record” would bring cachet even if it isn’t technically the record anymore.And by the numbers alone, Stanton — who needs 20 more home runs by the end of the season to best Maris — has an outside shot at the feat. For every batter who hit at least 35 homers in the first 116 games of a 162-game season,3This sample included 72 players. I recorded how many homers each managed over the rest of the season. About 11 percent managed to hit at least 20 more home runs. 2002Alex RodriguezTEX372057✓ 1999Mark McGwireSTL442165✓ So there’s a chance. But if you look at who did the homering over the rest of the season, Stanton’s odds might need to be adjusted downward more than a little. Of the eight hitter-seasons in our sample with 20 or more home runs between Game 116 and season’s end, all came in the steroid era, and only one — the great Ken Griffey Jr. — belonged to a player never associated with performance-enhancing drug use. The most by a recent player was the 18 late-season homers that Jose Bautista hit in 2010. YEARPLAYERTEAMTHROUGH 116 GAMESREST OF SEASONTOTALPEDS? 1997Mark McGwireOAK/STL352358✓ read more

Inconsistent Buckeyes go 11 in weekend play

The Ohio State women’s volleyball team jumped out to a one-set lead (26-24) against No. 19 Michigan, but dropped the next three sets (17-25, 16-25, 19-25) en route to a 3-1 loss Friday night. The Buckeyes seemed energized during the highly contested first set, which saw 16 ties and eight lead changes, winning on a game-point kill by outside hitter Anna Szerszen. The momentum did not hold for the Buckeyes, however, as Michigan jumped out to an early 7-1 lead to start the second set. OSU never recovered from the early deficit and headed into the break with the match tied at one set a piece. After the break, Michigan picked up right where it left off, jumping out to a 9-2 lead to start the third set. OSU cut the lead to 9-6 but could never climb back in the set. The last set was close through the first-half, featuring three ties, but Michigan began to pull away after gaining an 11-10 advantage. With Michigan’s lead 23-15, OSU began to fight back, riding outside hitter Katie Dull’s three consecutive kills, but fell short in the end. For the Buckeyes, Dull had a team-high 18 points with 15 kills, two aces and a solo block. Betsy Hone led the Buckeyes with 30 assists and Sarah Mignin was the team-leader in digs with nine. The Buckeyes had trouble getting into a rhythm the entire night. Following the game, the team spent some extended time in the locker room to work things out. “We had a really good conversation that was much needed,” OSU coach Geoff Carlston said. “I think we are going to be better tomorrow. “We were just disconnected and it’s my job as a coach to get everyone connected again. The dynamic needed to be tweaked and it just didn’t feel like our team today, but we’ll move forward.” The Buckeyes recovered quickly, turning around Saturday night to sweep Michigan State at St. John Arena, three sets to none (25-20, 25-22, 25-18). Michigan State found itself leading the first set 14-8 before the Buckeyes made five consecutive points to get them back in the game. A kill by middle blocker Mariah Booth brought up game point, and a kill from Dull sealed the first set for the Buckeyes. Set two was close throughout, seeing seven ties and three lead changes. Michigan State led 10-8 before the Buckeyes scored nine unanswered points, making the score 17-10. OSU increased its lead to 21-13, but the Spartans fought back with six unanswered points of their own, making the score 21-19. A 4-3 run to close the set gave OSU the 2-0 set lead. OSU jumped out early in the third set and never looked back. At 23-17, a kill by middle blocker Kelli Barhorst gave OSU match point. A 24-18 Spartan error gave OSU the match. Dull posted a match-high 18.5 points with 14 kills, two aces and a solo block. Amanda Peterson led the Buckeyes with 31 assists while Mignin was the team-leader in digs with 8. With the win, Ohio State improves to 14-3 on the year and 2-2 in conference play. read more

Ohio State mens tennis wins 7th straight against a ranked opponent beats

Senior Peter Kobelt returns the ball during a match against Texas A&M Feb. 9 at the Varsity Tennis Center. OSU won, 4-3.Credit: Alice Bacani / News director at BuckeyeTVAfter a whirlwind week that saw it defeat four top 15-ranked opponents in four days and rise to No. 1 in the ITA team rankings, the Ohio State men’s tennis team returned to action this weekend in another highly anticipated match at No. 10 Notre Dame.Playing in their first match after winning the ITA Indoor National Championship Feb. 17, the top ranked Buckeyes (14-0, 0-0) traveled to South Bend, Ind., Saturday to take on the Fighting Irish (10-3, 0-1).There might have been a bit of a hangover from the previous week’s success as the Buckeyes started out flat in doubles play.Redshirt-sophomore Chris Diaz and redshirt-freshman Ralf Steinbach were off first, losing to the Irish duo of senior Ryan Bandy and sophomore Eric Schnurrenberger 7-5.The Buckeyes’ No. 2-ranked duo of senior Peter Kobelt and redshirt-junior Kevin Metka evened things up with a 9-7 win over the No. 17 ranked team of senior Greg Andrews and sophomore Alex Lawson. The Irish captured the point shortly after though, as senior Billy Pecor and freshman Josh Hagar beat OSU’s redshirt-junior Hunter Callahan and freshman Herkko Pollanen, 8-6.After riding the doubles teams hard last weekend, and only having lost the doubles point twice in their previous 13 matches, the Buckeyes knew they had to shore up a few things up in singles play.OSU got the message, winning the first set in four of their matches. Steinbach fell quickly to Bandy, 6-3, 6-3, to give the Irish a 2-0 lead, but it was all Buckeyes from that point on.Callahan earned the Buckeyes’ first point, winning in straight sets against Schnurrenberger, 6-4, 6-4. It was his 12th consecutive win.Diaz fought back from being down 5-2 in his first set to force a tiebreaker with sophomore Quentin Monaghan. Momentum was all his at that point as he won the break and went on to win 7-6, 6-4.Metka went back in forth with freshman Eddy Covalschi before winning in a third set tiebreak, 6-3, 3-6, 7-6, and leaving the Buckeyes one win away from clinching the match.No. 23 Kobelt was the one who provided that point. In his match against No. 37 ranked Andrews, both players held serve every single time with each set heading to a tiebreak. After losing the first break, Kobelt took the next two, clinching the match with a 6-7, 7-6, 7-6 victory.“It’s always exciting to clinch match point for your team, especially against a very good Notre Dame team,” Kobelt said after the match.It was Notre Dame’s first home loss of the season and also the Buckeyes’ seventh straight win this season against a top 25 team.The Buckeyes are next scheduled to head to Indiana Monday to open Big Ten play with a match against the Hoosiers. The match is set to start at 2 p.m. read more

All 32 NFL teams on hand to watch 2015 Ohio State pro

Now former-OSU wide receiver Devin Smith speaks to the media at the 2015 Allstate Sugar Bowl. Smith is projected as a first round draft pick by many experts. Credit: Mark Batke / Photo editorFor some, pro day is a way to improve on subpar performances in certain events at the NFL Scouting Combine. For others, it is a time to introduce yourself, both personally and through your play, to the NFL scouts and coaches on hand.No matter what the goal was, the 10 former Ohio State players currently entered in the 2015 NFL draft had a chance to reach it Friday morning with OSU’s annual pro day event at the Woody Hayes Athletic Center.At one end of the spectrum is wide receiver Devin Smith, who currently projects as a first-round pick in many mock drafts. Smith, who performed at the combine in Indianapolis last month, said he was using the opportunity to show off some of the finer points of his skill set.“I was really just trying to hush the critics of me, that I’m only able to run one route,” Smith said. “I thought it was really important to go out there and run all the routes, show them that I’ve improved and can run all the routes.”Smith said in addition to route running, he wanted to be able to showcase his ability to corral the ball on a regular basis.“A lot of teams felt that I’m not very consistent with my hands, so I made sure I did that,” he said. “I put a lot of work and training into working on my hands and my coordination.”On the other end, offensive lineman Darryl Baldwin, who was not a starter for coach Urban Meyer until his redshirt-senior season, looked to get his name out there and get one step closer to the NFL.“You just try to start one year, and now you’re here trying to impress NFL teams,” Baldwin said. “It’s great. It’s a dream come true.”Despite a total of 76 representatives from the NFL in attendance at the Woody Hayes Athletic Center, including members of all 32 teams, Baldwin said he was able to block out most of the pressure coming from the most important job interview of his life.“I didn’t (feel the pressure). After we got the bench out of the way, and the first 40 (yard dash), I was just more relaxed and everything just seemed better,” Baldwin said.Among the 76 NFL representatives in attendance were Pittsburgh Steelers coach Mike Tomlin and offensive coordinator Todd Haley, Cincinnati Bengals coach Marvin Lewis and Minnesota Vikings general manager and OSU alumnus Rick Spielman.Tomlin was accompanied by current Pittsburgh and former OSU linebacker Ryan Shazier.Another participant Friday was cornerback Doran Grant. Grant said he has attended past pro days to support his teammates, but he still did not know exactly what to expect.“You’re the performer. You’re the one doing the workout. You’re the one interviewing for the job with all this NFL personnel,” Grant said. “I was looking at (redshirt-sophomore cornerback) Eli (Apple), how he was watching at me, and I said, ‘That’s how I used to be.’”Grant said he is still not sure where he might go in the draft. The Akron native said all that matters to him is making an NFL roster, in any capacity.He said has talked to the Oakland Raiders, Dallas Cowboys, Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the Steelers, amongst other organizations.Baldwin said he does not know what the future will hold for him, but he appreciates days like Friday to give him a chance to work toward his dream.“Whether it’s going late-round draft or free agent, it doesn’t really matter to me. Just getting the chances,” he said.Baldwin was not aware of his numbers Friday, as they were not released to attendees outside of the scouts, but said he believes he performed well. The Solon, Ohio, product said he has an interview scheduled with the Carolina Panthers at the end of the month.While 2013 OSU graduates such as offensive lineman Marcus Hall, wide receiver Chris Fields and kicker Drew Basil made their returns to the WHAC on Friday, so did one player who has been away for quite a bit longer.Troy Smith, who won the Heisman Trophy in 2006 as a senior at OSU, returned to throw passes in receiving drills for tight end Jeff Heuerman and receivers Evan Spencer, Fields and Devin Smith.Devin Smith said it was a good experience to work with the former NFL starting quarterback.“It was great. Having a Heisman Trophy winner come out here and really giving us a good look, so we appreciate it and, and he’s always wanted to do stuff for us,” he said.In addition to Devin Smith, Baldwin, Heuerman, Spencer and Grant, the other recent OSU graduates participating Friday were defensive linemen Michael Bennett and Steve Miller, kicker Kyle Clinton, long snapper Russell Doup and linebacker Curtis Grant.Doran Grant said, while he enjoys the pressure and intensity of the pre-draft workouts, he is getting restless waiting for the draft to begin April 30.“It’s been just like everybody told us,” he said. “They said it’s a long process. That’s what makes it hard, is how long from January until draft day. That’s the hardest part, the wait.” read more

Surgeon Ian Paterson who carried out needless breast operations has jail sentence

first_imgPaterson was convicted by a jury of offences of wounding with intent and unlawful wounding against 10 patients.Sentencing him to a total of 15 years, Mr Justice Jeremy Baker told Paterson: “You deliberately played upon their worst fears, either by inventing or deliberately exaggerating the risk that they would develop cancer, and thereby gained their trust and confidence to consent to the surgical procedures which you carried out upon them.”His trial heard evidence from nine women and one man who were treated in the private sector at Little Aston and Parkway Hospitals in the West Midlands between 1997 and 2011.Victims told the court that Paterson’s crimes had left them in constant pain and struggling to trust medical professionals. Ian Paterson was told his sentence was ‘unduly lenient’Credit:BPM Media “This is a truly sickening crime and my thoughts are with the victims and their families. I hope the increased sentence will help bring some closure for them.”Woman describes how she was targeted by Ian Paterson Paterson, 59, from Altrincham, Greater Manchester, watched proceedings via video-link from prison.He was convicted by a jury at Nottingham Crown Court of offences of wounding with intent and unlawful wounding against 10 patients.The decision was announced by Lady Justice Hallett, who said: “Both the harm and culpability here were exceptionally high.”She said the court was satisfied that the sentence imposed was “unduly lenient”, and that a “just” term was one of a total of 20 years for “multiple” offences.After the ruling, Mr Buckland said: “Throughout our lives we are told and expected to trust doctors. Paterson woefully abused that trust – he deliberately preyed on people’s worst fears and then mutilated them on the operating table. A surgeon who carried out needless breast operations has had his 15-year jail sentence increased to 20 years by judges.Ian Paterson, who left victims scarred and disfigured, was ordered to serve extra time behind bars by the Court of Appeal on Thursday.Lady Justice Hallett, Mrs Justice Carr and Mr Justice Goss, sitting in London, declared that the original jail term imposed in May was “unduly lenient”.Their ruling came after the sentence was referred to the court for review by Solicitor General Robert Buckland.  Ian Paterson Want the best of The Telegraph direct to your email and WhatsApp? Sign up to our free twice-daily  Front Page newsletter and new  audio briefings.last_img read more

Majority of councils have no men working in their nurseries as parents

first_imgNadhim Zahawi, the minister for children and families  Of the 38 councils in England, Scotland and Wales which still have in-house nurseries, 26 do not hire a single male teacher  Nadhim Zahawi, the minister for children and families  Ms Tanuku added that nursery mangers must firmly refuse requests from parents for male staff not to change nappies or take their children to the toilet.“There have been situations where parents have asked for male practitioners not to carry out personal care for their child and although a sensitive situation, it must be dealt with immediately,” she said.“By making your position clear it will demonstrate to all parents, colleagues and the worker himself, that he is a valued and trusted member of staff. There is also a separate legal issue of discrimination if a nursery were to ban male employees from carrying out personal care.” “Some children out there may not have a male in their home, there needs to be balance, they need to have that interaction,” he told the BBC.   “It breaks down that whole, ‘you have to be macho to be a male,’ thing. It shows them men can be silly, can play, make jokes, can give you a hug if you’ve fallen down.” Nadhim Zahawi, the minister for children and families, said that the lack of male nursery teachers is a problem which Department for Education officials are trying to address. Speaking at the education select committee, he said: “I think there is an issue. We do need to do more.“One of the areas we are looking to do more is on apprenticeships – to get more people considering a career in early years especially males. It is something that is important. A lack of male role models is not a good thing.”Purnima Tanuku OBE, Chief Executive of National Day Nurseries Association, said that childcare is seen by many as a “woman’s job” and that recruiting male practitioners is a “long standing  problem” for the sector. She added that “misplaced perceptions” about male nursery workers are “fuelled by negative stereotypes”.center_img The majority of councils have no men working in their nurseries, as parents assume they pose a risk to young children. Of the 38 councils in England, Scotland and Wales which still have in-house nurseries, 26 do not hire a single male teacher. Jamel Campbell, of the London Early Years Foundation, said: “People are entrusting their precious babies to us, to care for them and to teach them. There is a lot of stigma based on negative stories – children being at harm… men not being nurturing, men not being able to work with children that small.”Of 400,000 early years educators – which includes preschools, nurseries and school reception classes – 98 per cent are female. The starting salary for nursery practitioners is around £18,000.Mr Campbell said that more men would be interested in becoming nursery teachers if they understood the benefits it can bring to young children. Of the 38 councils in England, Scotland and Wales which still have in-house nurseries, 26 do not hire a single male teacher Credit: Christopher Furlong Want the best of The Telegraph direct to your email and WhatsApp? Sign up to our free twice-daily  Front Page newsletter and new  audio briefings. Earlier this week, a report warned that a recruitment crisis in nursery schools could see half of highly-qualified staff retiring within 25 years.  Analysis by the Education Policy Institute found that a large proportion of staff with degree-level qualifications are aged over 40.   One in five are over 50 and are set to retire within 10 to 15 years, the report said, while younger staff are more likely to be volunteers.  In reception classes almost 16 per cent of staff are unpaid volunteers, and the number of unpaid staff in independent nurseries rose by 60 per cent between 2008 and 2013.last_img read more

Easter beginning to look at lot like Christmas as turkey panettone and

first_img Want the best of The Telegraph direct to your email and WhatsApp? Sign up to our free twice-daily  Front Page newsletter and new  audio briefings. The chocolate treat, available at Waitrose, is shaped like half of an avocado, and has been so sought-after that many took to social media to complain that it was out of stock.‘Free-from’ takes on Easter favourites are also on the rise, catering for those who have cut gluten and dairy out of their diets.  A Waitrose spokesperson said: “Sales of our dairy free egg (from brand Moo Free) are up 45% on the same time last year.”Marks and Spencer experienced a similar spike in their vegan egg sales. A spokesperson revealed: “Sales of our Made Without Dairy Dark Chocolate Egg are up +13% on last year.”Gluten-free and dairy-free hot cross buns are also proving more popular this year.Alexa Masterson, Product Developer at Sainsbury’s, said: “We’re committed to opening doors for those who have specific dietary requirements and Easter is no exception! Our Deliciously FreeFrom products, including our popular Easter Eggs and brand new Hot Cross Buns, mean that even more people are able to enjoy the celebrations together.”   “Supermarkets are targeting consumers with food that they already associate with celebration, family time, and relaxation.“If it proves successful this year then you should expect to see even more Easter foods with a Christmas twist next year.”Easter this year has also been given a ‘millennial’ flavour, with one of the most popular offerings being an ‘avocado’ egg. Jamie Pettigrew tweeted, attaching a picture of an Iceland turkey advert: “No budget for a shoot – use the Christmas ad…” Waitrose's avocado-shaped Easter egg Christmas, it is said, only comes once a year – but not it would seem if you took a glance at supermarkets’ Easter offerings which this year include turkey, panettone and stollen.While traditional Easter foods include a leg of lamb and some gently spiced hot cross buns, retailers have this year added Christmas products with an “Easter twist” to their offerings.Aldi is selling turkey crowns, as well as smoked salmon macaroni cheese for the Easter table.The bargain food shop is specifically marketing the items for Easter, and said it expects its “rich macaroni cheese bakes with either delicious oak smoked Atlantic salmon or luxurious crayfish and crab filling” to prove popular after they are released on March 29.Frozen food supermarket Iceland is also marketing turkey to be eaten over the Easter weekend, and is calling the traditional Christmas meat the “star of the show” in advertisements.The store tweeted: “Not sure which meat to serve this #Easter? Our star of the show, Spring Turkey will give you all kinds of #MondayMotivation.”Some on Twitter have suggested the supermarkets are recycling their Christmas adverts.center_img “We’ve seen overwhelming appetite for our Deliciously FreeFrom Hot Cross Buns which launched this year, and are now the best-selling product in our FreeFrom morning goods range.” Other supermarkets are also blurring the culinary lines between the holidays. Panettone is a traditional Christmas treat, a bread-like cake studded with dried fruit to be eaten at breakfast.However, Waitrose has stocked it for Easter, making a special version for the Christian holiday.The supermarket said: “A Christmas classic gets an egg-citing Easter makeover with our new egg shaped Waitrose Christmas Panettone.“Our Panettone is made with a traditional sourdough recipe nurtured since 1964. This is combined with butter and chocolate and topped with pastel coloured sugar discs to make this treat look as pretty as an Easter egg!”Dutch store Hema has also been promoting an ‘Easter stollen’ – despite the bread being a German Christmas delicacy.In other cases, Easter treats have taken a Christmas flavour. Aldi has broadened its range of hot cross buns to include chocolate and toffee and cranberry and orange – with sales having doubled on last year.Charles Banks, co-founder at food trends firm The Food People, said:  “This is far more strategic than supermarkets wheeling out their old Christmas stock,” said Charles Banks, co-founder at food trends firm The Food People.“The UK has a uniquely competitive supermarket culture. This drives innovation as companies fight for differentiation by developing new products. Waitrose’s avocado-shaped Easter egg “No budget for a shoot – use the Christmas ad…” @IcelandFoods #turkey #easter #lamb pic.twitter.com/qZnN4xy8uL— Jamie Pettigrew (@JC_Pettigrew) March 23, 2018last_img read more

Famed 18thcentury thespian became first selfpublicist through secret media manipulation new book

Want the best of The Telegraph direct to your email and WhatsApp? Sign up to our free twice-daily  Front Page newsletter and new  audio briefings. David Garrick reciting the Jubilee Ode at Drury Lane Theatre in 1769 Other pieces praised his “truly affecting” performance and “the Exertion of his Talents”.In The Public Advertiser, a daily sheet in which Garrick also had shares, Garrick’s marketing extended to preparing and managing audience responses, Ritchie said.One article for his new adaptation of Hamlet told the audience that it was exactly what “the best Critics and warmest Admirers of Shakespeare have long wished”.Ritchie’s research appears in her forthcoming book, titled David Garrick and the Mediation of Celebrity, published by Cambridge University Press this month [Jan].She writes: “What happens when an actor owns shares in the stage on which he performs and the newspapers that review his performances? Celebrity that lasts over 240 years.” He was the legendary 18th-century actor and manager who, as a national icon and one of theatre’s first celebrities, could draw audiences from far and wide.But, hundreds of years before selfies, instant fame and stars with armies of publicists, David Garrick was also the original self-publicist, secretly manipulating the media, a new book reveals.Garrick used his part-ownership of newspapers and the Drury Lane Theatre to gain unparalleled media exposure, including self-authored reviews, according to Professor Leslie Ritchie, who has uncovered more than 11,000 mentions of Garrick’s name in London newspapers published between his stage debut in 1741 and his death in 1779. Such is the scale of Garrick’s media coverage and “his constant negotiation” of representations of himself and his playhouse that she describes him as “the first actor to exploit the power of the press in the production and mediation of celebrity”.Ritchie, associate professor of English at Queen’s University, Ontario, Canada, observes that audiences who flocked to Drury Lane could see a play written or adapted by Garrick, with a prologue or epilogue penned by Garrick and a cast that included Garrick: “That playgoer had likely been enticed to go to the play by an advertisement, puff or review written by Garrick, placed in a newspaper partly owned by Garrick.” She told the Sunday Telegraph that the public remembers Garrick today as the star who could act both tragedy and comedy, who championed ‘natural’ vocal delivery, and who brought Shakespeare into greater popularity than ever before: “What they don’t know is that Garrick’s manipulation of the media behind the scenes was equally masterful…“The story here is one of media convergence and social influence used to produce celebrity, long before the selfie era.”Today’s stars have agents and public relations teams to hone their public images and to present consistent messages about their identity. Garrick did most of that work for himself, hundreds of years ago.”From 1741, after his sensational interpretation of Richard III, Garrick dominated London theatre. David Garrick reciting the Jubilee Ode at Drury Lane Theatre in 1769Credit: Culture Club Garrick used his part-ownership of newspapers and the Drury Lane Theatre to gain unparalleled media exposure Garrick used his part-ownership of newspapers and the Drury Lane Theatre to gain unparalleled media exposureCredit:Hulton Archive The book, David Garrick and the Mediation of Celebrity, is to be published by Cambridge University Press this month The book, David Garrick and the Mediation of Celebrity, is to be published by Cambridge University Press this month Ritchie believes that scholars have been so dazzled by his extraordinary talent that they have “tended to downplay the extent to which his carefully-crafted puffs… enabled public perception of his stature as a dramatic innovator”.By poring over contemporary newspapers, as well as their financial records and business minutes, Ritchie realised the extent of Garrick’s links to them.His closest newspaper association was with the St. James’s Chronicle, a thrice-weekly newspaper, in which he secretly acquired a share in 1762 and to which he was a frequent anonymous contributor, she said: “Garrick used his interest in [it], not just for advertisements, but to publish his poetry, prologues, epilogues, and self-authored reviews of shows in his theatre… Modern ethical considerations of neutrality and objectivity were never the objectives of those writing and printing newspapers at this period.”In one report, the Chronicle applauded a performance in which “Mr. Garrick” was “most extraordinarily accurate in every syllable which he uttered”. read more

Instagram boss backs Telegraph Duty of Care campaign as he announces ban

On Thursday Mr Mosseri met Matt Hancock,… The head of Instagram has become the first tech boss to back a statutory duty of care to protect children from online harms, as he announced a ban on all graphic self harm images on his site. As he backed this newspaper’s campaign, he said it was time for the social media site, which is owned by Facebook, to take “responsibility” and act quickly against online harms. “I accept that we have room to improve and we have a responsibility to improve,” he said.  In an exclusive interview with The Daily Telegraph, Adam Mosseri admitted the social media firm had spent 10 years focusing on the “good” that comes out of connecting people while neglecting the “risks”.

International Womens Day The Telegraphs Women Mean Business campaign a year on

Want the best of The Telegraph direct to your email and WhatsApp? Sign up to our free twice-daily  Front Page newsletter and new  audio briefings. There are many positive stories to tell and having identified this issue which is stopping so many female founded businesses thriving the Telegraph will continued to press for progress – championing hard work and talent where we find it.In this video, released on International Women’s Day 2019, Claire Cohen takes a look back at the successes of the last twelve months as the Government publishes its review. A year ago The Telegraph launched the Women Mean Business campaign to shine a light on the shocking funding gap experienced by British female entrepreneurs as they endeavour to launch their own businesses. Start-ups run by women receive just nine per cent of venture capital funding despite the fact around a third of businesses in the country are female-owned. Just 24 hours after we launched our campaign, the Government announced a serious review into the issue – the Treasury calling it “incredibly important”.  Those findings were published in September and the Government went on to commission an independent review into the challenges facing women in starting and growing their own enterprises, led by Alison Rose, deputy CEO of Natwest. Today, the results of the ‘Rose review’ are published, making the first ever recommendations to Government about what it needs to do to help women entrepreneurs in Britain succeed. Because women are not a minority group – and when they flourish, so do we all. It is estimated that up to £250bn of new value could be added to the UK economy if barriers to success are removed and women start and scale businesses at the same rate as men. read more

Prince George has received coaching from Roger Federer Duchess of Cambridge reveals

“It’s already good. Same with my boys.”On being a royal favourite, he added: “I think I have a little advantage that I actually spent some time, you know, with him. “So maybe I’m the only player he’s ever met, then you have a little head start in who is your favourite player.”He added: “Look, he’s a cute boy. I love to see that they’re into tennis or into sports. Definitely.“You know, his mum has always enjoyed tennis. That’s it. I hope that he’ll still say the same in a few years’ time. This is not just an in-the-moment situation that he said, ‘Oh, he’s a good guy. I’ve just seen him recently.’”The Duchess revealed that her eldest son had taken up tennis in 2017, when he was four. It emerged that she had asked Judy Murray for advice as Prince George just wanted to “whack a ball.” The revelation was clearly music to Federer’s ears. When the news was relayed to him after his match on Thursday, the tennis champion beamed from ear to ear and could not resist a celebratory little fist pump.“That’s very big,” he grinned.Asked about the young prince’s technique, he was complimentary.“At that stage it’s all about just touch the ball,” he said. Switzerland’s Roger Federer celebrates after winning his second round match against Britain’s Jay ClarkeCredit:Andrew Couldridge /Reuters  Switzerland's Roger Federer celebrates after winning his second round match against Britain's Jay Clarke Roger Federer knocked a young British hopeful out of Wimbledon on Thursday but was rather more benevolent to another up and coming player, Prince George, it has emerged.The world number three made light work of Jay Clarke in the second round, dispatching him from the competition in straight sets. But he later spoke warmly about taking on the five-year-old prince at the Middleton family home in Bucklebury, Berks.Federer is a long-time family friend of the Middletons. He and his wife Mirka attended the marriage of Kate’s younger sister, Pippa, to James Matthews in 2017.The Duchess revealed during a visit to Wimbledon on Tuesday that Prince George was a huge tennis fan and had been practising his swing with Federer.She told retired British player Anne Keothavong, whom she sat next to on Court 14, that the 37-year-old veteran was her son’s favourite. Want the best of The Telegraph direct to your email and WhatsApp? Sign up to our free twice-daily  Front Page newsletter and new  audio briefings. read more

Daredevils leave out Brathwaite and bat

Share this:Click to share on Twitter (Opens in new window)Click to share on Facebook (Opens in new window)RelatedIPL 2017: Delhi keep Pune waiting for playoff spotMay 12, 2017In “Sports”Daredevils bowl, Brathwaite replaces RabadaMay 10, 2017In “latest news”Dhoni not part of T20I squad to face West Indies and AustraliaOctober 26, 2018In “latest news” Alagappan Muthu is a sub-editor at ESPNcricinfo Delhi Daredevils v Rising Pune Supergiant, IPL 2017, DelhiFor only the fourth time in as many seasons, an IPL captain chose to bat at the Feroz Shah Kotla. Delhi Daredevils’ Zaheer Khan took the decision in the hope that a dry and cracked pitch might offer some turn in the second innings. To exploit that, they brought Shahbaz Nadeem back and were happy to go into the match with only three overseas players. Seam-bowling allrounder Carlos Brathwaite was left on the bench.Rising Pune Supergiant, who need a win to bolster their claim for a top-two finish, were without their most successful bowler in the tournament. Imran Tahir has left to join the South Africa squad ahead of their one-day series against England, and his place was taken by Adam Zampa, who has not played a match for a month.Delhi Daredevils: 1 Sanju Samson, 2 Karun Nair, 3 Shreyas Iyer, 4 Rishabh Pant (wk), 5 Marlon Samuels, 6 Corey Anderson, 7 Pat Cummins, 8 Mohammed Shami, 9 Shahbaz Nadeem, 10 Amit Mishra, 11 Zaheer Khan (capt)Rising Pune Supergiant: 1 Rahul Tripathi, 2 Ajinkya Rahane, 3 Steven Smith (capt), 4 Manoj Tiwary, 5 MS Dhoni (wk), 6 Ben Stokes, 7 Dan Christian, 8 Washington Sundar, 9 Shardul Thakur, 10 Jaydev Unadkat, 11 Adam Zampa. (ESPNCricinfo) read more

Fisherman vendor jailed for break and enter

Share this:Click to share on Twitter (Opens in new window)Click to share on Facebook (Opens in new window)RelatedBrazilian National admits to stealing from roommate; Jailed for 12 monthsJune 19, 2014In “Crime”Nine months jail for handyman for stealing toolsDecember 7, 2018In “Court”24 months jail for intruder who fell asleep during robberyJuly 9, 2018In “Court” A duo was earlier today (Friday) jailed for 24 months each when they appeared before City Magistrate, Judy Latchman at the Georgetown Magistrates’ Courts charged for breaking and entering.Jailed: Mark Angus42-year old Mark Angus of New Amsterdam and 27-year-old Toby Singh of West Coast  Demerara (WCD) accepted that they broke and entered the Paradise Hotel and stole cement and tools with a total value of $40,060 between January 3-4 2018.According to Police Prosecutor, Gordon Mansfield, at around 17:00hrs on the day in question, the Virtual Complainant (VC), Leon Gorbedan secured his hotel, which was under construction and proceeded to his home.Jailed: Toby SinghHowever, upon his return the following day he found that the above mentioned items were missing. He subsequently went to the Brickdam Police Station to file a report but upon his arrival, he was shown the said missing items by Police which he identified as his property.Angus and Singh had already been apprehended by Police with the said items in their possession.In handing down the sentence, Latchman told the defendants that they need to work hard for what they want to achieve. She also revealed that considering the prevalence and seriousness of the offense, she will be sentencing them to 24 months each imprisonment. read more

240M drainage pump station at Buxton a failure Engineer

Share this:Click to share on Twitter (Opens in new window)Click to share on Facebook (Opens in new window)Related$360M drainage pump station commissioned at LusignanApril 23, 2018In “latest news”ECD drainage pumps to be completed for May/June rains – CEO NDIAJanuary 17, 2018In “latest news”Buxton to get three new pumps by end of 2017January 11, 2017In “Local News” Engineer, Charles Ceres, on Monday told a gathering, among other things, that the recently constructed $240 million pump station at Buxton on the East Coast of Demerara (ECD) is an engineering failure since to much money was spent to build it.The new $240 million pump station at BuxtonEarlier this month, Agriculture Minister Noel Holder commissioned the drainage pump station aimed at alleviating flooding in Buxton and surrounding areas. The pump station is equipped with a 70.6 cu/sec pump, which has the capacity to discharge water at a rate of 31,700 gallons per minute.Ceres who is a Civil, Geotechnical and Groundwater Hydrology Engineer and founded Ground Structures Engineering Consultants Inc. made the statement when he addressed the opening of the University of Guyana’s School of Entrepreneurship and Business Innovation inaugural Entrepreneurship and Innovation Conference at the Ramada Princess Hotel.Delivering an address on the absence of incorporating economic considerations into engineering projects in Guyana, Ceres said that engineering failure is the “failure to optimize the use of money, failure to recognize opportunities and failure to provide values to the end user.”To that end he explained that majority of the projects in Guyana are plagued by engineering failures that are both detrimental to the public and to the drive to ensure that, Guyanese people have a living wage.Turning his attention to the Buxton Pump Station, Ceres said the construction included the removal of soil to a depth of approximately 20 feet, followed by the construction of a hollowed concrete structure built on piled foundation.Engineer, Charles CeresHe continued “piles are used to transfer loads when the loads cannot be taken by the soil, the soil removed weighed more than the pump station. It begs the question, why were piles used? The answer is that Engineers at the Ministry of Agriculture and the National Drainage and Irrigation Board were unaware of this ever having been done before. These individuals were informed that several such structures were built by Booker Tate as part of GuySuCo’s infrastructure. Our Engineers at the Ministry and Agriculture and the National Drainage and Irrigation Board were more focused on precedent. Precedent is sometimes applicable in law, not engineering. The pump station construction is a failure, it did not optimize the benefits to the end user since too much money was spent to build it.”Following intense flooding, government secured a $1.4 billion line of credit from the World Bank for the construction of three pump stations located at Lusignan, Friendship/Vigilance and Enmore. read more

Positive responses received to 2007 Worlds Worst Polluted Places report

first_imgIn another development, the Global Pollution Remediation Fund (GPRF), conceived by Blacksmith Institute, was launched last week at a conference attended by representatives from government agencies of the USA, Germany, China, Russia, Mozambique, Kenya, and the Philippines.  The group also included participants from the World Bank, the United Nations Industrial Development Organization, Green Cross Switzerland, and leading researchers from within the public health and pollution remediation fields.  The GPRF is a planned $400 million fund dedicated to combating toxic pollution in developing countries that has resulted from industrial, mining, and military operations. As reported by IM, Blacksmith Institute released its second annual report The World’s Worst Polluted Places on September 12, 2007 in partnership with Green Cross Switzerland. Two joint press conferences were held to reveal this year’s ‘Top Ten’ and ‘Dirty Thirty’ lists of polluted places. Blacksmith Instituterepots that as a result of the media attention, the President and General Manager of Doe Run Peru, owner of the metallurgical facility in La Oroya, Peru, cited in the report, has invited Blacksmith Institute to visit the city of La Oroya and surrounding communities.  And in Russia, Norilsk Nickel, responsible for producing a fifth of the world’s nickel and emitting tons of highly polluting compounds, the institute reports, has contacted Blacksmith to partner on a remediation project in order to tackle the legacy pollution issues. The Fund will be directed toward cleaning up about 400 of the most highly polluted locations worldwide that affect more than 100 million people – people who suffer from reduced life expectancies, increased cancer risks and severe neurological damage. Projects supported by the fund will tackle sites causing the most severe health problems and will employ the most cost-effective technologies. Projects initiated by GPRF will channel support efficiently to local stakeholders with technical advice and oversight provided by a central secretariat.  Conference organisers will now approach donors including various development agencies, multilateral development banks, international aid organizations along with high net-worth individuals to build on an initial seed contribution of $10 million.last_img read more

RBC Capital Markets predicts further escalation of platinum price due to South

first_imgRBC Capital Markets has released a research report that concludes that 2008 will see the price of platinum continue to soar as a result of a production bottleneck in South Africa. Platinum prices have surged over $2,000, up 135% since the beginning of 2005, recently reaching a seven-week high amid concerns over power supply difficulties in South Africa which have caused widespread disruption to production.  Eskom, South Africa’s power utility, has inadequately invested in generation capacity, the impact of which could be felt for the next four to five years, or longer.“Given the clear risk that power supply may be constrained, will junior producers, who don’t have the capital to set up smelting operations, be able to sell their concentrate?” asks Leon Esterhuizen, Analyst, Global Mining Research at RBC Capital Markets. “The juniors may well be able to mine, but the majors would have to get increased power allocation in order to smelt and treat more third party material. This then becomes the ultimate bottleneck that threatens to create an environment where metal prices could increase significantly.“The massive shortage of skills in South Africa is also a problem for producers.  Competition to attract and retain good people has already caused labour costs to escalate by at least 15% per annum and the problem gets worse as new entrants come on stream and start looking for labour and skilled managers.“Compounding the problem of reduced output is the increasing demand for platinum by the jewellery sector and the automobile industry, which uses the metal in catalytic converters for cleaning tailpipe emissions.“Further price pressures come from investors who are buying platinum metal-backed exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Platinum ETFs pose a real threat as they may put the market in an ever growing deficit.“To ensure longer term sustainability of the industry and the market as a whole, there has to be faster expansion of production,” says Esterhuizen. “The junior companies best positioned to take part in this are the ones that are already in production, or will be so shortly, and those that will be expanding output and have, in the case of the juniors, a valid offtake agreement in place” says Esterhuizen.RBC Capital Markets hosted its inaugural Platinum Group Metals Conference on May 16 in London. The conference brought together the senior management of the world’s largest platinum producers to speak about the opportunities and challenges they face. Speakers included: Eastern Platinum, Mvelaphanda Resources, African Rainbow Minerals, Braemore Resources, Platmin, Platinum Australia, Platinum Group Metals, Ridge Mining and Wesizwe Platinum.The conference contents are available via audio-only webcast at http://www.rbccm.com/last_img read more